![]() | The Shape of Oil to Come | The Oil Drum | ASPO-USA 2007 Houston World Oil Conference, October 17-20, 2007, Hilton Americas-Houston. | ![]() |
![]() | TOD:NYC is now TOD:Local. Update your links! | The Oil Drum: Local | Separated Bike Lanes in NYC: Dividends of Advocacy | ![]() |
Blogroll
NY Blogs
- Gothamist
- Starts & Fits
- Aaron Naparstek
- Baloghblog
- One Atlantic
- bikeblog
- Curbed
- Urban Digs
- OnNYTurf
- Daily Gotham
- StreetsBlog
Local Organizations
- NYC Peak Oil Meet-up
- Peak Oil NYC
- Transportation Alternatives
- Time's Up
- Straphanger's Campaign
- Regional Plan Association
- Green Homes NYC
- Tri-State Transportation Campaign
- Harbor Rail Tunnel
- Auto Free NY
- Walk NY
- Bridge Tolls Advocacy
- Vision 42nd Street
- Car Free
- Right of Way
- Upper Green Side
Local Media
National Peak Oil Sites
Webrings
|
|
|
|
User login
Personnel
Classic posts
Archives
- October 2008
- September 2008
- August 2008
- July 2008
- June 2008
- May 2008
- April 2008
- March 2008
- February 2008
- January 2008
- December 2007
- November 2007
- October 2007
- September 2007
- August 2007
- July 2007
- June 2007
- May 2007
- April 2007
- March 2007
- February 2007
- January 2007
- December 2006
- November 2006
- October 2006
- September 2006
- August 2006
- July 2006
- June 2006
- May 2006
- April 2006
- March 2006
- February 2006
- January 2006
- December 2005
- November 2005
- October 2005
- September 2005
PONYC Archives
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 United States License.




GAIA Host Collective
If we hadn't used the oil so carelessly, we might not have such a large population to be at risk.
I don't understand the logic that using oil carelessly resulted in greater population. If you are talking about modern agriculture, I am sure that those who would otherwise starved to death would disagree with the characterization as "careless". Please explain.
To add to my comment about the relative ineffectiveness of being conservative in the big picture, I would like to point out that had we used oil more conservatively in transportation, we would have used the savings somewhere else. Why? Because the oil was there and we are human. If you don't spend your income on gasoline, and spend it instead on something else, that something else took energy to create. To boot, getting around on less energy encourages more getting around, so there goes some more of the conservation.
The hydrocarbon savings account was limited. Using it more conservatively would not have changed that simple fact. The nature of technology is to use resources faster than they would have been used without technology. In effect, most technology is just knowledge applied to resources resulting in increased use of resources in elevating human living standards. Had we not tapped the hydrocarbon savings account we still would be living as we did before we started using coal, complete with that level of population and with similar living conditions.
I think things unfolded, and are unfolding more or less the way nature dictates. It probably was inevitable that the industrial age occurred. It is just as inevitable that we will return to pre-industrial age living conditions as the cause of the industrial age (exploitation of stored hydrocarbons) is depleted. The cycles of nature are far more powerful than the machinations of man. It just so happens that we are at the peak of a very large cycle, about to experience a sharp "return to the mean", complete with overshoot. In all of human history (past and yet to be written), the industrial age will turn out to have been a random blip in an otherwise relatively flat line.
It created surplus food, rather than just sufficient food. Without the surpluses, the population would not have grown as quickly and there would have been fewer people alive when production peaked.
Modern agriculture is a great thing, because it creates urbanization and social arrangements where education is a greater advantage than raw numbers and people have fewer children and invest more in them. If we could have spread this around the entire world as fast as it came to the OECD countries, the world population might only be 3 billion today and the problem would both be more manageable and not move as quickly.
You are assuming that the only way to apply knowledge is to non-renewable resources. All it takes is one read through "Direct Use of the Sun's Energy" by Farrington Daniels (1965) to show that things could have been very different, and we could have been running much of the world on RE by the present day. Plant life didn't peak and crash after it invented chlorophyll, and we don't have to either.